Saturday, July 31, 2010
Friday, July 30, 2010
Thursday, July 29, 2010
New Tax on Windfall Home-Sale Profits
New Tax on Windfall Home-Sale Profits at Kiplinger
What happens when tax and spend Democrats are elected.
Wednesday, July 28, 2010
My Fellow Americans, Tax cuts DO NOT cause deficits
My Fellow Americans,
Tax cuts DO NOT cause deficits.
Stupid, wasteful, irresponsible spending of the PEOPLE'S money causes deficits and a National Debt.
When President Reagan would submitt his budgets to Democratic House Speaker Tip O'Neill and the Congress, they would all laugh and say that his budget was 'dead on arrival'.
They would then proceed to 'pile on' the deficit spending.
That is why the National Debt went up.
Are there any other questions?
Thank you,
Tax cuts DO NOT cause deficits.
Stupid, wasteful, irresponsible spending of the PEOPLE'S money causes deficits and a National Debt.
When President Reagan would submitt his budgets to Democratic House Speaker Tip O'Neill and the Congress, they would all laugh and say that his budget was 'dead on arrival'.
They would then proceed to 'pile on' the deficit spending.
That is why the National Debt went up.
Are there any other questions?
Thank you,
Tuesday, July 27, 2010
Monday, July 26, 2010
Sunday, July 25, 2010
Saturday, July 24, 2010
SPX (S & P 500) Thoughts For Saturday 7-24-10
I did an annotated SPX (S & P 500, http://bit.ly/i0nsT) chart last night, showing the Elliott Wave count since 4-26-10's 1219.80 cycle high, with a few indicators (Williams %R and ROC, both at extremes, ROC turned sharply down), and, I posted it on yfrog/Twitter (http://twitter.com/tradethecycles), see http://yfrog.com/e3p0dp.
The 1040.78 cycle low on 5-25-10 clearly appears to be a Wave A Monthly Cycle low (also Wave 1 Down), and, the 1131.23 cycle high on 6-21-10 clearly appears to be a Wave B Monthly Cycle High (Also Wave 2 Up), see http://yfrog.com/e3p0dp. The decline from 6-21-10's 1131.23 cycle high until July 1's 1010.91 cycle low appears to be Wave A of Wave C Down (a small Wave 3 Down move, relative to the larger Wave 1 move), and, the current Monthly Upcycle since July 1's 1010.91 cycle low appears to be Wave B of Wave C Down, and, a Wave 4 Up move.
The big question is (obviously assumes SPX (S & P 500) didn't bottom on July 1) how severe will Wave 5 down = Wave C of Wave C down be? The extremely bearish six month 10 Year Treasury Yield Lead Indicator, see http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=^GSPC&t=6m&l=on&z=l&q=c&p=v&a=fs,p12,fs,w14&c=WMT,XOM,xlf,^tnx, suggests that Wave 5 down = Wave C of Wave C down might be severe (Wave 5 moves can be/often are huge and rapid), with SPX possibly hitting 760ish, filling the 768.54 gap. However, in the same lead indicator chart above, the six month Walmart (WMT) Lead Indicator (probably the second best lead indicator) isn't overly bearish.
I've been assuming that SPX (S & P 500, http://bit.ly/i0nsT) will probably fall to 900 to 950 in this Intermediate Term Downcycle since 4-26-10's 1219.80 Major Cycle High, filling one or both of the downside gaps at 940.38 and 905.84. However, the severe case is also a definite possibility, with SPX possibly hitting 760 to 800, potentially filling downside gaps at 811.08 and 768.54. There's also a downside gap at 676.53.
However, especially in an election year, and, given how fragile the economy is, the Fed will vigorously try to prevent a severe market crash scenario from unfolding, by pumping massive credit into the market. So, SPX (S & P 500, http://bit.ly/i0nsT) will probably fall to 900 to 950 in this Intermediate Term Downcycle since 4-26-10's likely 1219.80 Major Cycle High, filling one or both of the downside gaps at 940.38 and 905.84.
Friday, July 23, 2010
Solar Capital's Stellar Yield
Solar Capital's Stellar Yield at Investopedia
Strong Insider buying, see http://finance.yahoo.com/q/it?s=SLRC+Insider+Transactions
Thursday, July 22, 2010
The 10 Year Treasury Note Yield's Elliott Wave Count
The 10 Year Treasury Note Yield's Elliott Wave Count, refer to the five year candlestick chart at http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=^TNX&t=5y&l=off&z=l&q=c&p=v&a=fs,fs,fs,w14&c=.
From mid 2007 until very late 2008 the 10 Year Treasury Note's yield did a down up down Wave A Elliott Wave Major Downcycle (also did an Elliott Wave down up down up down pattern), that's also probably Waves 1 down, 2 up, and 3 down, of the Cyclical Bear Market (in yield) since mid 2007.
From very late 2008 to June 2009/April 2010's bearish double top the 10 Year Treasury Note's yield did an Elliott Wave up down up down up Major Upcycle, that's probably/appears to be the counter trend Wave B and Wave 4 up of the Cyclical Bear Market (in yield) since mid 2007, which means that the 10 Year Treasury Note's yield is now probably in a huge Wave C and Wave 5 Downcycle since April 2010, which is very important, because, it's a very good SPX (S & P 500, http://bit.ly/i0nsT)/market lead indicator, see the six month 10 Year Treasury yield vs SPX Lead Indicator at http://yhoo.it/bYZcbZ.
This means that SPX (S & P 500, http://bit.ly/i0nsT)/market is probably heading much lower the next year or so.
Wednesday, July 21, 2010
Tuesday, July 20, 2010
Monday, July 19, 2010
Sunday, July 18, 2010
Saturday, July 17, 2010
The 10 Year Treasury Yield Appears to be the Best SPX Lead Indicator
The 10 Year Treasury Yield ($TNX) Appears to be the Best SPX (S & P 500, http://bit.ly/i0nsT)/Market Lead Indicator (I know of at least), see the six month TNX Lead Indicator vs Walmart (WMT) Lead Indicator at http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?t=6m&s=^GSPC&l=off&z=l&q=c&p=v&a=fs&a=p12&a=fs&a=w14&c=wmt,^tnx, and, see the five year TNX Lead Indicator vs Walmart (WMT) Lead Indicator at http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=^GSPC&t=5y&l=off&z=l&q=c&p=v&a=fs,fs,p12,fs,p12,fs,fs,p12,fs,w14&c=wmt,^tnx. Looking at the six month and five year timeframes the 10 Year Treasury Yield ($TNX) is clearly a better lead indicator than the respectable Walmart (WMT) Lead Indicator.
See the six month TNX Lead Indicator vs Exxon Mobil (XOM) Lead Indicator at http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=^GSPC&t=6m&l=off&z=l&q=c&p=v&a=fs,fs,p12,fs,p12,fs,fs,p12,fs,w14&c=xom,^tnx, and, see the five year TNX Lead Indicator vs Exxon Mobil (XOM) Lead Indicator at http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=^GSPC&t=5y&l=off&z=l&q=c&p=v&a=fs,p12,fs,w14&c=xom,^tnx. Looking at those timeframes the 10 Year Treasury Yield ($TNX) is clearly a better lead indicator than the Exxon Mobil (XOM) Lead Indicator.
See the six month TNX Lead Indicator vs SPDR Financials ETF (XLF) Lead Indicator at http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=^GSPC&t=6m&l=off&z=l&q=c&p=v&a=fs,fs,p12,fs,p12,fs,fs,p12,fs,w14&c=xlf,^tnx, and,
see the five year TNX Lead Indicator vs SPDR Financials ETF (XLF) Lead Indicator at http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=^GSPC&t=5y&l=off&z=l&q=c&p=v&a=fs,p12,fs,w14&c=xlf,^tnx. Looking at those timeframes the 10 Year Treasury Yield ($TNX) is clearly a better lead indicator than the SPDR Financials ETF (XLF) Lead Indicator.
Friday, July 16, 2010
Medicare scams totaling $251M result in 36 arrests
Medicare scams totaling $251M result in 36 arrests
- The Christian Science MonitorThursday, July 15, 2010
10-Year Yield Back Under 3%, Look out Stocks
10-Year Yield Back Under 3%, Look out Stocksat The Wall Street Journal
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